The following text reviews, in a historical context,
the 1987, 1997 and 1998 stock market meltdowns.
The article was written nine years ago in November 1999, following the
adoption of the 1999 Financial Services Modernization Act.
It was subsequently published as a chapter in the Second Edition of
The Globalization of Poverty and the New World Order, Global Research,
Montreal, 2003.
The financial sector reforms of the late 1999s had set the stage for
the current financial crisis.
"The 1999 legislation had repealed the
Glass-Steagall Act of 1933, a pillar of President Roosevelt’s
"New Deal" which was put in place in response to the climate of
corruption, financial manipulation and "insider trading" which led to more
than 5,000 bank failures in the years following the 1929 Wall Street
crash. Effective control over the entire US financial services
industry (including insurance companies, pension funds, securities
companies, etc.) had been transferred to a handful of financial
conglomerates – which are also the creditors and shareholders of high tech
companies, the defense industry, major oil and mining consortia, etc.
Moreover, as underwriters of the public debt at federal, state and
municipal levels, the financial giants have also reinforced their
stranglehold on politicians, as well as their command over the conduct of
public policy.
Rather than taming financial markets in the wake of the
storm, Washington was busy pushing through the US Senate legislation,
which was to significantly increase the powers of the financial services
giants and their associated hedge funds. Under the Financial Modernization
Act adopted in November 1999, US lawmakers had set the stage for a
sweeping deregulation of the US banking system.
In the wake of lengthy negotiations, all regulatory
restraints on Wall Street’s powerful banking conglomerates were revoked
"with a stroke of the pen". Under the new rules – ratified by the US
Senate and approved by President Clinton – commercial banks, brokerage
firms, hedge funds, institutional investors, pension funds and insurance
companies can freely invest in each others businesses as well as fully
integrate their financial operations.
The legislation had repealed the Glass-Steagall Act of
1933, a pillar of President Roosevelt’s "New Deal" which was put in place
in response to the climate of corruption, financial manipulation and
"insider trading" which led to more than 5,000 bank failures in the years
following the 1929 Wall Street crash. Effective control over
the entire US financial services industry (including insurance companies,
pension funds, securities companies, etc.) had been transferred to a
handful of financial conglomerates – which are also the creditors and
shareholders of high tech companies, the defense industry, major oil and
mining consortia, etc. Moreover, as underwriters of the public debt at
federal, state and municipal levels, the financial giants have also
reinforced their stranglehold on politicians, as well as their command
over the conduct of public policy.
The "global financial supermarket" is to be overseen by
the Wall Street giants; competing banking institutions are to be removed
from the financial landscape. State level banks across America will be
displaced or bought up, leading to a deadly string of bank failures. In
turn, the supervisory powers of the Federal Reserve Board (which are
increasingly under the direct dominion of Wall Street) have been
significantly weakened."
Michel Chossudovsky, October 17, 2008
See complete text below
A new global financial environment has unfolded in
several stages since the collapse of the Bretton Woods system of fixed
exchange rates in 1971. The debt crisis of the early 1980s (broadly
coinciding with the Reagan-Thatcher era) had unleashed a wave of corporate
mergers, buy-outs and bankruptcies. These changes have, in turn, paved the
way for the consolidation of a new generation of financiers clustered
around the merchant banks, the institutional investors, stock brokerage
firms, large insurance companies, etc. In this process, commercial banking
functions have coalesced with those of the investment banks and stock
brokers.1
While these "money managers" play a powerful role on
financial markets, they are, however, increasingly removed from
entrepreneurial functions in the real economy. Their activities (which
often escape state regulation) include speculative transactions in
commodity futures and derivatives, and the manipulation of currency
markets. Major financial actors are routinely involved in "hot money
deposits" in "the emerging markets" of Latin America and Southeast Asia,
not to mention money laundering and the development of (specialized)
"private banks" ("which advise wealthy clients") in the many offshore
banking havens. Within this global financial web, money transits at high
speed from one banking haven to the next in the intangible form of
electronic transfers. "Legal" and "illegal" business activities have
become increasingly intertwined, vast amounts of unreported private wealth
have been accumulated. Favoured by financial deregulation, the criminal
mafias have also expanded their role in the spheres of international
banking.2
The 1987 Wall Street Crash
Black Monday October 19, 1987 was the largest one-day
drop in the history of the New York Stock Exchange overshooting the
collapse of October 28, 1929, which prompted the Wall Street crash and the
beginning of the Great Depression. In the 1987 meltdown, 22.6 percent of
the value of US stocks was wiped out largely during the first hour of
trading on Monday morning. The plunge on Wall Street sent a cold shiver
through the entire financial system leading to the tumble of the European
and Asian stock markets...
The Institutional Speculator
The 1987 Wall Street crash served to "clearing the
decks" so that only the "fittest" survive. In the wake of crisis, a
massive concentration of financial power has taken place. From these
transformations, the "institutional speculator" emerged as a powerful
actor overshadowing and often undermining bona fide business interests.
Using a variety of instruments, these institutional actors appropriate
wealth from the real economy. They often dictate the fate of companies
listed on the New York Stock Exchange. Totally removed from
entrepreneurial functions in the real economy, they have the power of
precipitating large industrial corporations into bankruptcy.
In 1993, a report of Germany’s Bundesbank had already
warned that trade in derivatives could potentially "trigger chain
reactions and endanger the financial system as a whole".3 While
committed to financial deregulation, the Chairman of the US Federal
Reserve Board Mr. Alan Greenspan had warned that: "Legislation
is not enough to prevent a repeat of the Barings crisis in a high tech
World where transactions are carried out at the push of the button".4
According to Greenspan "the efficiency of global financial markets, has
the capability of transmitting mistakes at a far faster pace throughout
the financial system in ways which were unknown a generation ago..."5
What was not revealed to public opinion was that "these mistakes",
resulting from large-scale speculative transactions, were the source of
unprecedented accumulation of private wealth.
By 1995, the daily turnover of foreign exchange
transactions (US$ 1300 billion) had exceeded the world’s official foreign
exchange reserves estimated at US$ 1202 billion.6 The command
over privately-held foreign exchange reserves in the hands of
"institutional speculators" far exceeds the limited capabilities of
central banks, – i.e. the latter acting individually or collectively are
unable to fight the tide speculative activity.
The 1997 Financial Meltdown
The 1987 crisis had occurred in October. Almost to the
day, ten years later (also in October) on Monday the 27th, 1997, stock
markets around the world plummeted in turbulent trading. The Dow Jones
average nose-dived by 554 points, a 7.2 percent decline of its value, its
12th-worst one-day fall in the history of the New York Stock Exchange.
Major exchanges around the world are interconnected
"around the clock" through instant computer link-up: volatile
trading on Wall Street "spilled over" into the European and Asian stock
markets thereby rapidly permeating the entire financial system. European
stock markets were in disarray with heavy losses recorded on the
Frankfurt, Paris and London exchanges. The Hong Kong stock exchange had
crashed by 10.41 percent on the previous Thursday ("Black Thursday"
October 24th) as mutual fund managers and pension funds swiftly dumped
large amounts of Hong Kong blue chip stocks. The slide at Hong Kong’s
Exchange Square continued unabated at the opening of trade on Monday
morning: a 6.7 percent drop on Monday the 27th followed by a
13.7 percent fall on Tuesday (Hong Kong’s biggest point loss ever)...
Table 1
New York Stock Exchange: Worst
Single-Day Declines (Dow Jones Industrial Average, percentage change)
Percentage Date Decline
[1929-1998]
October 19, 1987 - 22.6%
October 28, 1929 - 12.8%
October 29, 1929 - 11.7%
November 6, 1929 - 9.9%
August 12, 1932 - 8.4%
October 26, 1987 - 8.0%
July 21, 1933 - 7.8%
October 18, 1937 - 7.6%
October 27, 1997 - 7.2%
October 5, 1932 - 7.2%
September 24, 1931 - 7.1%
August 31, 1998 - 6.4%
Source: New York Stock
Exchange
The 1997 meltdown of financial markets had been
heightened by computerized trading and the absence of state regulation.
The NYSE’s Superdot electronic order-routing system was able to handle
(without queuing) more than 300,000 orders per day (an average of 375
orders per second), representing a daily capacity of more than two billion
shares. While its speed and volume had increased tenfold since 1987, the
risks of financial instability were significantly greater.
Ten years earlier, in the wake of the 1987 meltdown,
the US Treasury was advised by Wall Street not to meddle in financial
markets. Free of government encroachment, the New York and Chicago
exchanges were invited to establish their own regulatory procedures. The
latter largely consisted in freezing computerized programme trading
through the use of so-called "circuit-breakers".7
In 1997, the circuit breakers proved to be totally
ineffective in averting a meltdown. On Monday the 27th of October 1997, a
first circuit breaker halted trading for 30 minutes after a 350 point
plunge of the Dow Jones. After the 30 minute trading halt, an aura of
panic and confusion was installed: brokers started dumping large
quantities of stocks which contributed to accelerating the collapse in
market values. In the course of the next 25 minutes, the Dow plunged by a
further 200 points, triggering a second "circuit breaker" which served to
end the trading day on Wall Street.
Text Box
Replicating the Policy Failures of
the late 1920s
Wall Street was swerving
dangerously in volatile trading in the months preceding the Wall
Street crash on October 29, 1929. Laissez-faire, under the Coolidge
and Hoover administrations, was the order of the day. The possibility
of a financial meltdown had never been seriously contemplated.
Professor Irving Fisher of Yale University had stated authoritatively
in 1928 that "nothing resembling a crash can occur". The illusion of
economic prosperity persisted several years after the Wall Street
crash of October 1929. In 1930, Irving Fisher stated confidently that
"for the immediate future, at least, the perspective is brilliant".
According to the prestigious Harvard Economic Society: "manufacturing
activity [in 1930]... was definitely on the road to recovery"
(quoted in John Kenneth Galbraith, The Great Crash, 1929,
Penguin, London).
Mainstream Economics Upholds
Financial Deregulation
Sounds familiar? In the wake of
the 1997 crash, the same complacency prevailed as during the frenzy of
the late 1920s. Echoing almost verbatim the economic slogans of Irving
Fisher, today’s economics orthodoxy not only refutes the existence of
an economic crisis, it denies outright the possibility of a financial
meltdown. According to Nobel Laureate Robert Lucas of the University
of Chicago, the decisions of economic agents are based on so-called
"rational expectations", ruling out the possibility of "systematic
errors" which might lead the stock market in the wrong direction... It
is ironic that precisely at a time when financial markets were in
turmoil, the Royal Swedish Academy announced the granting of the 1997
Nobel Prize in Economics to two American economists for their
"pioneering formula for the valuation of stock options [and
derivatives] used by thousands of traders and investors" (meaning an
"algebraic formula" which is routinely used by hedge funds stock
market speculators). (See Greg Burns, "Two Americans Share Nobel
in Economics", Chicago Tribune, October 15, 1997).
The Asian Crisis
When viewed historically, the 1997 financial crisis was
far more devastating and destructive than previous financial meltdowns.
Both the stock market and currency markets were affected. In the 1987
crisis, national currencies remained relatively stable. In contrast to
both the crashes of 1929 and 1987, the 1997-98 financial crisis was marked
by the concurrent collapse of currencies and stock markets. An almost
symbiotic relationship between the stock exchange and the foreign currency
market had unfolded: "institutional speculators" were not only involved in
manipulating stock prices, they also had the ability to plunder central
banks’ foreign exchange reserves, undermining sovereign governments and
destabilizing entire national economies.
In the course of 1997, currency speculation in
Thailand, Indonesia, Malaysia and the Philippines was conducive to the
transfer of billions of dollars of central bank reserves into private
financial hands. Several observers have pointed to the deliberate
manipulation of equity and currency markets by investment banks and
brokerage firms.8 Ironically, the same Western financial
institutions which looted developing countries’ central banks, have also
offered "to come to the rescue" of Southeast Asia’s monetary authorities.
ING Baring, for instance, well known for its speculative undertakings,
generously offered to underwrite a one-billion dollar loan to the Central
Bank of the Philippines (CBP) in July 1997. In the months which followed,
most of these borrowed foreign currency reserves were reappropriated by
international speculators when the CBP sold large amounts of dollars on
the forward market in a desperate attempt to prop up the Peso.
"Economic Contagion"
Business forecasters and academic economists alike had
disregarded the dangers of a global financial meltdown alluding to "strong
economic fundamentals"; G7 leaders were afraid to say anything or act in a
way, which might give the "wrong signals"... Wall Street analysts continue
to bungle on issues of "market correction" with little understanding of
the broader economic picture.
The plunge on the New York Stock Exchange on October
27th 1997 was casually blamed on the "structurally weak economies" of
Southeast Asia, until recently heralded as upcoming tigers, now depicted
as "lame ducks". The seriousness of the financial crisis was trivialized:
Alan Greenspan, Chairman of the Federal Reserve Board, reassured Wall
Street pointing authoritatively to "the contagious character of national
economies, spreading weaknesses from country to country". Following
Greenspan’s verdict (October 28th), the "consensus" among Manhattan
brokers and US academics (with debate or analysis) was that "Wall Street
had caught the Hong Kong flu"...
The 1998 Stock Market Meltdown
In the uncertain wake of Wall Street’s recovery from
the 1997 "Asian flu" – largely spurred by panic flight out of Japanese
stocks – financial markets backslided a few months later to reach a new
dramatic turning-point in August 1998 with the spectacular nose-dive of
the Russian ruble. The Dow Jones plunged by 554 points on August 31, 1998
(its second largest decline in the history of the New York stock exchange)
leading, in the course of September, to the dramatic meltdown of stock
markets around the World. In a matter of a few weeks, 2300 billion dollars
of "paper profits" had evaporated from the U.S. stock market.
The ruble’s August 1998 free-fall had spurred Moscow’s
largest commercial banks into bankruptcy leading to the potential
take-over of Russia’s financial system by a handful of Western banks and
brokerage houses. In turn, the crisis had created the danger of massive
debt default to Moscow’s Western creditors, including the Deutsche and
Dresdner banks. Since the outset of Russia’s macro-economic reforms,
following the first injection of IMF "shock therapy" in 1992, some 500
billion dollars worth of Russian assets – including plants of the military
industrial complex, infrastructure and natural resources – have been
confiscated (through the privatization programs and forced bankruptcies)
and transferred into the hands of Western capitalists. In the brutal
aftermath of the Cold War, an entire economic and social system was being
dismantled.
Financial Deregulation
Rather than taming financial markets in the wake of the
storm, Washington was busy pushing through the US Senate legislation,
which was to significantly increase the powers of the financial services
giants and their associated hedge funds. Under the Financial Modernization
Act adopted in November 1999 – barely a week before the historic Seattle
Millenium Summit of the World Trade Organization (WTO) – US lawmakers had
set the stage for a sweeping deregulation of the US banking system.
In the wake of lengthy negotiations, all regulatory
restraints on Wall Street’s powerful banking conglomerates were revoked
"with a stroke of the pen". Under the new rules – ratified by the US
Senate and approved by President Clinton – commercial banks, brokerage
firms, hedge funds, institutional investors, pension funds and insurance
companies can freely invest in each others businesses as well as fully
integrate their financial operations.
The legislation had repealed the Glass-Steagall Act of
1933, a pillar of President Roosevelt’s "New Deal" which was put in place
in response to the climate of corruption, financial manipulation and
"insider trading" which led to more than 5,000 bank failures in the years
following the 1929 Wall Street crash.9 Effective control over
the entire US financial services industry (including insurance companies,
pension funds, securities companies, etc.) had been transferred to a
handful of financial conglomerates – which are also the creditors and
shareholders of high tech companies, the defense industry, major oil and
mining consortia, etc. Moreover, as underwriters of the public debt at
federal, state and municipal levels, the financial giants have also
reinforced their stranglehold on politicians, as well as their command
over the conduct of public policy.
The "global financial supermarket" is to be overseen by
the Wall Street giants; competing banking institutions are to be removed
from the financial landscape. State level banks across America will be
displaced or bought up, leading to a deadly string of bank failures. In
turn, the supervisory powers of the Federal Reserve Board (which are
increasingly under the direct dominion of Wall Street) have been
significantly weakened .
Free from government regulation, the financial giants
have the ability to strangle local-level businesses in the US and
overshadow the real economy. In fact, due to the lack of competition, the
legislation also entitles the financial services giants (bypassing the
Federal Reserve Board and acting in tacit collusion with one another) to
set interest rates as they please.
The Merger Frenzy
A new era of intense financial rivalry has unfolded.
The New World Order – largely under the dominion of American finance
capital – was eventually intent on dwarfing rival banking conglomerates in
Western Europe and Japan, as well as sealing strategic alliances with a
"select club" of German- and British-based banking giants.
Several mammoth bank mergers (including NationsBank
with BankAmerica, and Citibank with Travelers Group) had, in fact, already
been implemented and rubber-stamped by the Federal Reserve Board (in
violation of the pre-existing legislation) prior to the adoption of the
1999 Financial Modernization Act. Citibank, the largest Wall Street bank,
and Travelers Group Inc., the financial services and insurance
conglomerate (which also owns Solomon Smith Barney a major brokerage firm)
combined their operations in 1998 in a 72 billion dollar merger.10
Strategic mergers between American and European banks
had also been negotiated bringing into the heart of the US financial
landscape some of Europe’s key financial players including Deutsche Bank
AG (linked up with Banker’s Trust) and Credit Suisse (linked up with First
Boston). The Hong Kong Shanghai Banking Corporation (HSBC), the UK based
banking conglomerate – which had already sealed a partnership with Wells
Fargo and Wachovia Corporation – had acquired the late Edmond Safra’s
Republic New York Bank in a 9 billion dollar deal.11
In the meantime, rival European banks excluded from
Wall Street’s inner circle, were scrambling to compete in an increasingly
"unfriendly" global financial environment. Banque Nationale de Paris (BNP)
had acquired Société Générale de Banque and Paribas to form one of the
World’s largest banks. BNP eventually aspires "to move into North America
in a bigger way".12
Financial Deregulation at a Global Level
While the 1999 US Financial Services Act does not in
itself break down remaining barriers to the free movement of capital, in
practice, it empowers Wall Street’s key players, including Merrill Lynch,
Citigroup, J.P. Morgan, Lehman Brothers, etc., to develop a hegemonic
position in global banking, overshadowing and ultimately destabilizing
financial systems in Asia, Latin America and Eastern Europe...
Financial deregulation in the US has created an
environment which favors an unprecedented concentration of global
financial power. In turn, it has set the pace of global financial and
trade reform under the auspices of the IMF and the World Trade
Organization (WTO). The provisions of both the WTO General Agreement on
Trade in Services (GATS) and of the Financial Services Agreement (FTA)
imply the breaking down of remaining impediments to the movement of
finance capital meaning that Merrill Lynch, Citigroup or Deutsche-Bankers
Trust can go wherever they please, triggering the bankruptcy of national
banks and financial institutions.
In practice, this process has already happened in a
large number of developing countries under bankruptcy and privatization
programs imposed on an hoc basis by the Bretton Woods institutions. The
mega-banks have penetrated the financial landscape of developing
countries, taking control of banking institutions and financial services.
In this process, the financial giants have been granted de facto "national
treatment": without recourse to the provisions of the Financial Services
Agreement (FTA) of the WTO, Wall Streets banks, for instance, in Korea,
Pakistan, Argentina or Brazil have become bona fide "national banks"
operating as domestic institutions and governed by domestic laws which are
being remolded under IMF-World Bank jurisdiction. (See Chapters 21 and
22.)
In practice the large US and European financial
services giants do not require the formal adoption of the GATS to be able
to dominate banking institutions worldwide, as well as overshadow national
governments. The process of global financial deregulation is, in many
regards, a fait accompli. Wall Street has routinely invaded country
after country. The domestic banking system has been put on the auction
block and reorganized under the surveillance of external creditors.
National financial institutions are routinely destabilized and driven out
of business; mass unemployment and poverty are the invariable results.
Assisted by the IMF – which routinely obliges countries to open up their
domestic banking sector to foreign investment – retail banking, stock
brokerage firms and insurance companies are taken over by foreign capital
and reorganized. Citigroup, among other Wall Street majors, has gone on a
global shopping spree buying up banks and financial institutions at
bargain prices in Asia, Latin America and Eastern Europe. In one fell
swoop, Citigroup acquired the 106 branch network of Banco Mayo Cooperativo
Ltda., becoming Argentina’s second largest bank.
Endnotes
-
In the US, the division between commercial and investment banking is
regulated by the Glass Steagall Act enacted in 1933 during the Great
Depression to ensure the separation of securities underwriting from
lending, to avoid conflicts of interest and prevent the collapse of
commercial banks. The Banking Association has recently pointed to the
importance of amending the Glass Steagall act to allow for the full
integration of commercial and investment banking. See American Banking
Association President’s Position, "New Ball Game in Washington",
ABA Banking Journal, January 1995, p. 17.
-
For detailed analysis on the role of criminal organizations in banking
and finance, see Alain Labrousse and Alain Wallon (editors), "La
planète des drogues", Editions du Seuil, Paris, 1993 and
Observatoire géopolitique des drogues, La drogue, nouveau désordre
mondial, Hachette, coll. pluriel-Intervention, Paris, 1993.
-
Quoted in Martin Khor, " Baring and the Search for a Rogue Culprit,
Third World Economics, No. 108, 1-15 March 1995, p. 10.
-
Ibid.
-
Bank for International Settlements Review, No. 46, 1997.
-
Martin Khor, SEA Currency Turmoil Renews Concern on Financial
Speculation, Third World Resurgence, No. 86, October 1997, pp.
14-15.
-
"Five Years On, the Crash Still Echoes", The Financial Times,
October 19, 1992.
-
Philip Wong, member of the Beijing appointed Legislative Assembly
accused the Manhattan Brokerage firm Morgan Stanley of
"short-selling the market". See "Broker Cleared of Manipulation",
Hong Kong Standard, 1 November 1997.
-
See Martin McLaughlin, Clinton Republicans agree to Deregulation of US
Banking System, World Socialist website,
http://www.wsws.org/index.shtml, 1 November 1999.
-
Ibid
-
See Financial Times, November 9, 1999, p. 21.
-
Jocelyn Noveck, "Deal would create largest bank", http://sun-sentinel.com/,
March 9 1999.
The above
text is contained in Chapter 20 of Michel Chossudovsky's book
The Globalization of Poverty and the New World Order
by Michel Chossudovsky
In this new and expanded edition of Chossudovsky’s international
best-seller, the author outlines the contours of a New World Order which
feeds on human poverty and the destruction of the environment, generates
social apartheid, encourages racism and ethnic strife and undermines the
rights of women. The result as his detailed examples from all parts of the
world show so convincingly, is a globalization of poverty.
This book is a skilful combination of lucid explanation
and cogently argued critique of the fundamental directions in which our
world is moving financially and economically.
In this new enlarged edition –which includes ten new
chapters and a new introduction-- the author reviews the causes and
consequences of famine in Sub-Saharan Africa, the dramatic meltdown of
financial markets, the demise of State social programs and the devastation
resulting from corporate downsizing and trade liberalisation.
Michel Chossudovsky is Professor of Economics at the University
of Ottawa and Director of the Centre for Research on Globalization (CRG),
which hosts the critically acclaimed website
www.globalresearch.ca . He is a contributor to the Encyclopedia
Britannica. His writings have been translated into more than 20 languages.
Published in 12 languages. More than 150,000 copies sold Worldwide.
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